Monday, June 30, 2008

Bad agreements

The sense of frustration many feel in the current situation is exemplified by the so-called Gaza truce. Every day since the truce supposedly came into effect there have been firings of mortars or rockets from Gaza into Israel. Fortunately, these have not caused any damage or injuries and so have been ignored by the IDF. The BBC, in reporting these violations of the truce, stated that Israel had violated the truce, although they were referring to IDF actions on the West Bank that was specifically excluded from the truce. Nevertheless, Islamic Jihad and the Fatah military wing Izzadin al Kassem both claimed that they had deliberately violated the Gaza truce because of the Israeli attacks in the West Bank. Hamas is considered to be in charge of Gaza and their Foreign Minister as-Zahar announced that any armed groups that fired on Israel and violated the truce would be arrested by Hamas, although this actually had no effect on the continuing violations.
Israel opened the border crossings on the first day after the truce went into effect and delivered hundreds of truck-loads of goods into the Strip. But, when the rockets started again they closed the borders. However, even though the rockets are continuing, Israel has again opened several crossings and resumed delivering truck-loads of goods. What is going on here, is there a truce or is there not? If there is not, why is Israel still delivering food and materiel to the Gazans?
I suppose all of this could have been predicted given the fact that the Arabs never honor their word and the current Israeli Govt. is confused and feckless. Another example of this attitude is the negotiations for the release of IDF soldiers Eldad Regev and Ehud Goldwasser from Lebanon. Today the Cabinet met and voted 22 to 3 to accept the agreement that has apparently been reached with Hizbollah (these negotiations were thru the German Red Cross). Israel will release a major terrorist, Samir Kuntar, with Israeli blood on his hands, and many other prisoners in exchange for the two Israelis, without having any evidence of their being alive. Usually this is the first thing that any negotiators require before releasing anyone in exchange for a hostage, but the Israeli Govt. is so weak that it does not even demand that. This sets a dangerous precendent, suppose the captors of Cpl. Gilad Shalit who is currently held in Gaza and who recently was allowed to send a letter to his parents, decide to kill him now, will the Govt. still honor the agreement that has apparently been agreed with Hamas? Will any future IDF captive be safe?
On the other hand, the military supported the agreement, Chief of General Staff Gabi Ashkenazi voted for it, giving the reason that it is his duty to get the soldiers back, alive or dead, while the security chiefs voted against it, because they see it as a victory for Sheikh Nasrullah, who has publicly commited himself to get Kuntar back. Some Israelis argue that Kuntar has been in prison for 30 years and so we may as well release him for a tangible benefit, and a bad agreement is better than no agreement But, there will be celebrations in Beirut when he is released and it will be considered a victory for Hizbollah.

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