Futile Hamas strategy
The Arabs have tried various strategies to destroy Israel
and kill Jews. Their initial major strategy was simpy to invade Jewish areas
with militias and armies to massacre Jews and defeat Israeli forces. They did
this in 1921 (riots), 1929 (massacre in Hebron), 1936 (the Uprising), 1948 (the
War of Independence), 1956 (the Sinai campaign), 1967 (the 6-Day War), 1973 (the
Yom Kippur War), and 1982 (the First Lebanon War). When the enlightened leaders
of Jordan (King Hussein) and Egypt (Pres. Sadat) saw that this was a futile
strategy, they capitulated and signed peace treaties with Israel (Egypt in 1979,
Jordan in 1994).
Since the Palestinian Arabs under Yasir Arafat could no
longer depend on the Arab States to fight their battles, the PLO switched
strategies and turned first to intifada (i.e. more riots) (the First
Intifada 1987-1993; the Second Intifada 2000-2005). But when that failed to
work they extended their strategy to terrorism and suicide bombings (mostly
2001-2005). This strategy was ended by the Israeli building of the Security
Fence (2003-2012) which prevented easy Palestinian access into Israel.
Since the rocket attacks by Saddam Hussein on Israel during the First Gulf War
of 1991 were seemingly successful and Israel had no effective answer to them
(and did not use the IAF against Iraq), the Palestinain terrorist organizations
have turned to a strategy of firing rockets into Israel at civilian centers,
although the rockets and missiles are not targeted.
With the development by Israel of the Iron Dome
anti-missile system, now it can be concluded that this rocket strategy of
Hamas and Hizbollah is futile, it has been successfully counteracted by Israel.
Since the deployment of Iron Dome in 2011, and operational improvements, the
Iron Dome anti-missiles are now ca. 90% effective. With a tenth battery now
becoming operational there is little chance that any rockets can get
through the Iron Dome umbrella and cause mass Jewish casualties, as intended by
their launchers. For example, in the current round of hostilities, Hamas have
launched ca. 1,000 missiles into Israel. Of these, ca. 70% fell on unpopulated
territory, and only ca. 30 % were expected to fall on populated (or protected)
territory. Since the operational ability is ca. 90% that means that only 10% of
300 or only 30 rockets were actually able to penetrate to Israeli populated
areas. Today the first actual Israeli casualty, Dror Chanin, a volunteer killed
by shrapnel from a mortar near the Gaza border, was announced.
This is a laughable proportion, 30 out of 1,000, or
3%, or 1 man killed for 1,000 rockets fired,
indicating that the strategy is totally futile. Imagine the cost and danger of
firing 970 rockets for NO reason. Not only do the launchers usually get killed
because of the rapid IAF response to rocket fire, but it is a futile strategy.
Certainly the firing of the Iron Dome anti-missiles is much more costly than the
rockets fired by Hamas, but Israel as a technologically advanced country with a
strong economy, can well afford this expense to protect its civilians. During
this current bombardment by Hamas, most Israelis have in fact been
going about their business, living their lives and continuing to be productive
without much interference (this is not to minimize the truly terrifying
situation in certain parts of the coutnry, particularly the south, where rockets
have been falling at a truly alarming rate and life is lived under a reign of
terror). When will Hamas and the Palestinians realize that their current rocket
strategy is a failed approch to kill Jewish citizens of Israel and bring the
country to a standstill. They are running out of ideas and time.
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