Who is Baghdadi?
Abu-bakr al-Baghdadi is the self-professed Caliph of the
Islamic State, that now stretches some 250 miles from Aleppo in former Syria to
Mosul in former Iraq, also known as ISIS, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria.
He was a fomer Imam in Baghdad who joined al Qaeda and then went beyond them.
He has just released a video of himself preaching at a Mosque in Mosul and
commanding all (Sunni) Muslims to obey him. He is now presenting himself as the
top authority in Islam. As such he has many enemies, he has broken with Al
Qaeda, and his fighters have clashed with those of al Qaeda. The difference in
tactics between ISIS and al Qaeda is that although their ultimate aims are the
same, to establish a world-wide Muslim Caliphate, he has gone directly to that
goal, seeing the opportunity in the disintegration of Syria and Iraq, while al
Qaeda is hung up on attacking the West and particularly the USA as the chief
obstacle to Muslim expansionism.
His other chief enemy are the Shia, who he and other
Sunnis regard as heretical Muslims. The schism occurred very early in the
history of Islam and is fundamental to the progress of the Islamic State. The
immediate enemy is the Shia-dominated Iraqi Government of Nuri al Maliki, whose American-trained and supplied forces faded
away when faced by the ISIS fighters. Now the Iraqi army with Shia militias is
mounting a counter attack, with limited success. His other Shia enemy is of
course Pres. Assad of Syria, who is an Awalakite and an ally of the Shia, and
their principal backer is of course Shia Iran. The Ayatollahs in Iran must be
preparing themselves for a long brutal war against the forces of this new Sunni
Islamic State.
His other enemies are Saudi Arabia, the center of orthodox
Salafist Islam and an American ally, and of course the US and the West itself.
But, he is unlikely to try to mount attacks directly on the US and the West,
while he is fighting an intense military war with the Shia in Iraq as well as
other local forces, such as the Kurds. He will presumably try to consolidate
his position before attacking Iran or Saudi Arabia or the USA. He might be a
threat to Israel, since he regards Jordan, Lebanon and Israel as part of the
historica Islamic State and will no doubt try to undermine them, taking
advantage of the millions of Syrian Sunni Arabs now living as refugees in Jordan
and Lebanon. He also regards Turkey as an enemy since they "stole" the
Caliphate from the Arabs in 1453 and retained control until defeated by the
British in WWI and the subsequent Turkish revolt of 1923, when the last
Caliphate was abolished.
In summary, everyone is his enemy because his Islamic code
requires him to try to take over the whole world and convert it to his version
of Islam. Many people have not yet realized the extreme brutality of these
Islamists, when they capture a town the first thing they do is massacre the
Iraqi Shia soldiers, then they destroy all the Churches, murder the Christians,
sometimes by crucifixtion, desecrate the Shia Mosques and forcibly convert the
Shia to Sunni Islam. So you have to hope that he will be defeated soon by one
or more combinations of these enemies. If he manages to survive then expect to
see his picture in your neighborhood soon. In the meantime sit back and enjoy
the show as they slog it out against each other.
There are of course many questions that arise regarding
the viablility of a State that seeks to go back to medieval times. Not only
will it be hard for them to maintain the loyalty of their citizens if they treat
them brutally for any infraction of Islamic purity, as the Taliban did in
Afghanistan, but how will they maintain a working economy, they must use modern
weapons, communications and develop an oil industry. In time, and with so many
enemies, it is not difficult to predict that they will fail, but that remains to
be seen.
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home